Adaptational lag at high elevations depends on life stage in a California wildflower

High elevation populations are expected to receive reduced snowpack, warmer temperatures, and more variable precipitation patterns, potentially putting them at risk if rates of adaptation do not keep pace with climate change. Populations from climates more closely aligned with the changing high elevation conditions may prove better suited to current climate than the current local populations. Thus, it is essential to assess 1) whether high elevation populations are locally adapted to current climate, and 2) whether fitness of lower elevation populations from warmer climates is higher than for local populations in high elevation conditions.

We conducted a common garden study with Streptanthus tortuosus at a high elevation site. Twenty-three populations from across the species range were measured weekly for mortality, and reproductive output was measured at the end of the growing season. We examined the effects of climatic distance from the site of origin on plant performance. The effects of weekly weather on mortality were also assessed.

We observed adaptational lag for high elevation populations, including the native population, but only for some life stages. Low elevation populations had higher survival through the first year and over winter. Additionally, the probability of reproducing was highest for populations from the warmest climates. Warmer ambient temperatures at the high elevation garden were also associated with higher weekly mortality across populations. However, survival to reproduction in the second year was higher in populations from climates closer to the garden, i.e. high elevation populations. Thus, adaptational lag differed among life stages.

Synthesis: This study highlights the importance of considering variation in life history and seasonal conditions when evaluating how species that occur across an elevational gradient may respond to climate change. This adds to a growing body of evidence that reveals warming temperatures as a threat to high elevation populations. However, unlike previous studies, this threat was not consistent across life stages. These results suggest that strategic assisted gene flow that combines the benefits of warm-adapted low elevation populations with the benefits of snow-adapted life history from high elevation populations may be beneficial in this species, and similar systems.