Prediction of harvest-related traits in barley using high-throughput phenotyping data and machine learning

Developing crop varieties that maintain productivity under drought is essential for future food security. Here, we investigated the potential of time-resolved high-throughput phenotyping to predict harvest-related traits and identify drought-stressed plants. Six barley lines ( Hordeum vulgare ) were grown in a greenhouse environment with well-watered and drought treatments, and phenotyped using RGB, thermal infrared, chlorophyll fluorescence and hyperspectral imaging sensors. Temporal phenomic classification model accurately distinguished between drought-treated and control plants, achieving high accuracy (R ² ≥ 0.97) even when exclusively using predictors only from the early phase after drought induction. Canopy temperature depression at the early stage and RGB-derived plant size estimates at the late stage were identified as key classification features. Temporal phenomic prediction model of harvest-related traits achieved particularly high mean R ² values for total biomass dry weight (0.97) and total spike weight (0.93), with RGB plant size estimators emerging as important predictors. Prediction accuracy for these traits remained high (R ² ≥ 0.84) when using only predictors from the first half of the experiment. Models trained on pooled drought and control data outperformed single-treatment models and retained high accuracy when applied across treatments. These findings support the integration of high-throughput phenotyping and temporal modelling to enable timely and more cost-effective selection of drought-resilient genotypes, and illustrate the broader potential of phenomics-driven approaches in accelerating crop improvement under stress-prone conditions.