Longitudinal Validation of a Deep Learning Index for Aortic Stenosis Progression

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Abstract

Aims

Aortic stenosis (AS) is a progressive disease requiring timely monitoring and intervention. Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) remains the gold standard for AS assessment, while deep learning (DL)-based approaches have emerged as promising tools for enhanced evaluation. This study examined the longitudinal changes in a previously developed DL-derived index for AS continuum (DLi-ASc; scaled 0 to 100) and its association with AS progression. Additionally, we evaluated its utility in identifying high-risk patients prone to progression to severe AS.

Methods and Results

A total of 2,563 patients with follow-up TTE (8,053 TTEs) from two tertiary hospitals were included. DLi-ASc, generated from limited TTE views, was tracked over time. The longitudinal trends in AS severity showed a progressive shift toward advanced stages, with a corresponding increase in DLi-ASc (p for trend <0.001). DLi-ASc demonstrated positive correlations with conventional AS parameters, including AV maximal velocity (V max ) (Pearson correlation coefficients [PCC] = 0.68) and mean pressure gradient (mPG) (PCC = 0.69). Higher baseline DLi-ASc was associated with a faster AS progression rate (p for trend <0.001). Furthermore, baseline DLi-ASc was an independent predictor of progression to severe AS, with hazard ratios of 2.92, 2.45, and 2.67 per 10-score increase within 1-, 2-, and 3-year follow-up windows, respectively. A DLi-ASc threshold of 50 was identified as a threshold for rapid progression to severe AS.

Conclusion

DLi-ASc increased in parallel with AS progression and independently predicted severe AS progression. These findings support its role as a non-invasive imaging-based digital marker for longitudinal AS monitoring and risk stratification.

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