Deciphering the Timing and Impact of Life-extending Drugs: A Novel Analytic Approach that Differentiates Early, Midlife, and Senescence Phase Efficacies

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Abstract

Evidence that life-extending interventions are not uniformly effective across the lifespan calls for an analytic tool that can estimate age-specific treatment effects on mortality hazards. Here we report such a tool, applying it to mouse data from 42 agents tested in the NIA Interventions Testing Program. This tool identified agents that either reduced (22) or increased (16) mortality hazards or did both (6), all with marked variation in the duration of efficacy and magnitude of effect size. Only 7 reduced mortality hazards after the 90% mortality, when the burden of senescence is greatest. Sex differences were apparent in all parameters. This new analytic tool complements the commonly used log-rank test. It detects more potential life-extending candidates (22 versus 10) and indicates when during the life course they are effective. It also uncovers adverse effects. Most importantly, it identifies agents that specifically reduce mortality hazards during the senescent phase of life.

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