Lineage BA.2 dominated the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 epidemic wave in the Philippines

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Abstract

The Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant led to a dramatic global epidemic wave following detection in South Africa in November, 2021. The Omicron lineage BA.1 was dominant and responsible for most domestic outbreaks during December 2021-January 2022, whilst other Omicron lineages including BA.2 accounted for the minority of global isolates. Here, we describe the Omicron wave in the Philippines by analysing genomic data. Our results identify the presence of both BA.1 and BA.2 lineages in the Philippines in December 2021, before cases surged in January 2022. We infer that only lineage BA.2 underwent sustained transmission in the country, with an estimated emergence around November 18th, 2021 [95% highest posterior density: November 6-28th], whilst despite multiple introductions BA.1 transmission remained limited. These results suggest the Philippines was one of the earliest areas affected by BA.2, and reiterate the importance of whole-genome sequencing for monitoring outbreaks.

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2022.05.30.22275783: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    Software and Algorithms
    SentencesResources
    Sequence data preparation: To compile all available genomic data from the Philippines and fit the domestic isolates in the context of global virus transmission, all SARS-CoV-2 sequences and metadata were downloaded from GISAID on February 15th, 2022 (EpiCoV, https://www.gisaid.org).
    https://www.gisaid.org
    suggested: (GISAID, RRID:SCR_018279)
    A time-scaled phylogeny was inferred using BEAST v10.4 (Suchard et al. 2018) facilitated by the BEAGLE library v3.1 for better computational performance (Ayres et al. 2019).
    BEAST
    suggested: (BEAST, RRID:SCR_010228)
    Statistical correlation between locations of isolation and the phylogeny was detected by BaTS v0.9 with 1000 posterior trees subsampled from the MCMC process (Parker et al. 2008).
    BaTS
    suggested: None

    Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code.


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.


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