Immune Correlates Analysis of a Single Ad26.COV2.S Dose in the ENSEMBLE COVID-19 Vaccine Efficacy Clinical Trial

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Abstract

Anti-spike IgG binding antibody, anti-receptor binding domain IgG antibody, and pseudovirus neutralizing antibody measurements four weeks post-vaccination were assessed as correlates of risk of moderate to severe-critical COVID-19 outcomes through 83 days post-vaccination and as correlates of protection following a single dose of Ad26.COV2.S COVID-19 vaccine in the placebo-controlled phase of ENSEMBLE, an international, randomized efficacy trial. Each marker had evidence as a correlate of risk and of protection, with strongest evidence for 50% inhibitory dilution (ID50) neutralizing antibody titer. The outcome hazard ratio was 0.49 (95% confidence interval 0.29, 0.81; p=0.006) per 10-fold increase in ID50; vaccine efficacy was 60% (43, 72%) at nonquantifiable ID50 (< 2.7 IU50/ml) and rose to 89% (78, 96%) at ID50 = 96.3 IU50/ml. Comparison of the vaccine efficacy by ID50 titer curves for ENSEMBLE-US, the COVE trial of the mRNA-1273 vaccine, and the COV002-UK trial of the AZD1222 vaccine supported consistency of the ID50 titer correlate of protection across trials and vaccine types.

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2022.04.06.22272763: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    Antibodies
    SentencesResources
    Neutralizing antibody activity was measured at Monogram in a formally validated assay (detailed in Huang et al.28) that utilized lentiviral particles pseudotyped with full-length SARS-CoV-2 Spike protein.
    SARS-CoV-2 Spike protein .
    suggested: None
    Case-cohort set included in the correlates analyses: A case-cohort36 sampling design was used to randomly sample participants for D1, D29 antibody marker measurements.
    D1
    suggested: (GenWay Biotech Inc. Cat# GWB-1D1D29, RRID:AB_10511088)
    D29
    suggested: None
    Software and Algorithms
    SentencesResources
    Further differences between the moderate to severe-critical COVID-19 endpoint for the correlates analysis vs. that for the primary analysis are: the correlates analysis counted endpoints starting both ≥ 1 day post-D29 and ≥ 28 days post-vaccination and RT-PCR positivity of a nasal swab for SARS-CoV-2 was determined at a local laboratory (with or without central confirmation), whereas the primary analysis counted endpoints starting ≥ 28 days post-vaccination and all participants whose nasal swabs tested RT-PCR+ for SARS-CoV-2 at a local laboratory must have also had a respiratory tract sample confirmed as SARS-CoV-2 positive at a central laboratory using the m-2000 SARS-CoV-2 real-time RT-PCR assay (Abbott).
    Abbott
    suggested: (Abbott, RRID:SCR_010477)

    Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code.


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: We found the following clinical trial numbers in your paper:

    IdentifierStatusTitle
    NCT04505722Active, not recruitingA Study of Ad26.COV2.S for the Prevention of SARS-CoV-2-Medi…


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No funding statement was detected.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.


    About SciScore

    SciScore is an automated tool that is designed to assist expert reviewers by finding and presenting formulaic information scattered throughout a paper in a standard, easy to digest format. SciScore checks for the presence and correctness of RRIDs (research resource identifiers), and for rigor criteria such as sex and investigator blinding. For details on the theoretical underpinning of rigor criteria and the tools shown here, including references cited, please follow this link.