Vaccine hesitancy strongly correlates with COVID-19 deaths underreporting

  1. Adam Sobieszek
  2. Miriam Lipniacka
  3. Tomasz Lipniacki

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Abstract

Vaccine acceptance is a key factor in achieving high immunization coverage and reducing the death toll of COVID-19 pandemic. Analyzing data from Europe and Americas we demonstrated that vaccine hesitancy strongly correlates with underreporting of COVID-19 deaths and cases. This correlation cannot be explained by the differences in economic indexes: GDP and Gini coefficient (measure of income inequalities). There is no correlation of vaccination percentage and Gini coefficient and the correlation with GDP is decreasing in time. The most striking is the comparison of Eastern European and South American countries; the latter group of countries shows significantly higher vaccination percentage while having a lower or comparable GDP and higher Gini coefficient. The analysis suggests that timely and reliable information about the COVID-19 cases and the associated deaths plays a key role in achieving population-wide vaccine acceptance.

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  1. ScreenIT

    SciScore for 10.1101/2022.02.27.22271579: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Ethicsnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.

    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.

    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.

    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.

    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.

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  2. Version published to 10.1101/2022.02.27.22271579 on medRxiv