Grouping theory of epidemiology

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Abstract

there are general and principle models and calculation formulas for epidemics, mainly the basic reproduction number R 0 of a certain epidemic disease such as COVID-19, the newly confirmed number C n =R n-1 C n-1 , The threshold of herd immunity is (R 0 -1)/R 0 .

Innovation theory

Based on the fact that there are groups of different tends (that is, different R 0 or R k ), a grouping model of epidemiology is proposed, and a complete and detailed calculation formula is given. The basic relationship is that the overall infection numbers of is equal to the sum of the infection number of groups, namely: R t =∑(f k R k ), where f k is the population proportion of each group, and R k is the basic reproduction number of each groups. Its important application is the grouping strategy in which prevention and control measures are inclined to high-risk groups. The basic relationship is that the basic reproduction number of each group is equal to the product of the control coefficient of its measures and the original basic reproduction number, namely: R kk R 0k . Compared with the traditional strategy of equal treatment, the grouping strategy has the characteristics of high efficiency, low consumption, and low threshold of herd immunity.

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2021.06.11.21258661: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Ethicsnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.


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