The COVID-19 pandemic storm in India subsides, but the calm is still far away

  1. Igor Nesteruk

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Abstract

In May 2021, the number of new COVID-19 patients in India began to decline, as predicted by the generalized SIR-model (susceptible-infected-removed). The calculations of the final size of this pandemic wave and its duration probably were too pessimistic. New SIR simulations with the use of fresher datasets are necessary in order to update the predictions and to calculate the difference between the registered (laboratory-confirmed) and real number of cases.

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  1. ScreenIT

    SciScore for 10.1101/2021.06.01.21258143: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Ethicsnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.

    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.

    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.

    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.

    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.

    About SciScore

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  2. Version published to 10.1101/2021.06.01.21258143v1 on medRxiv