A Targeted Geospatial Approach to COVID-19 Vaccine Delivery: Findings from the Johns Hopkins Hospital Emergency Department

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Abstract

While COVID-19 vaccines have been shown to significantly decrease morbidity and mortality, there is still much debate about optimal strategies of vaccine rollout. We tested identity-unlinked stored remnant blood specimens of patients at least 18 years presenting to the Johns Hopkins Hospital emergency department (ED) between May to November 2020 for IgG to SARS-CoV-2. Data on SARS-CoV-2 RT PCR were available for patients who were tested due to suspected infection. SARS-CoV-2 infections was defined as either a positive IgG and/or RT-PCR. SARS-CoV-2 infection clustering by zipcode was analyzed by spatial analysis using the Bernoulli model (SaTScan software, Version 9.7). Median age of the 7,461 unique patients visiting the ED was 47 years and 50.8% were female; overall, 740 (9.9%) unique patients had evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Prevalence of infection in ED patients by ZIP code ranged from 4.1% to 22.3%. The observed number of cases in ZIP code C was nearly double the expected (observed/expected ratio = 1.99; 95% CI: 1.62, 2.42). These data suggest a targeted geospatial approach to COVID vaccination should be considered to maximize vaccine rollout efficiency and include high-risk populations that may otherwise be subjected to delays, or missed.

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2021.05.04.21255575: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    EthicsIRB: The protocol was approved by the Johns Hopkins Medicine Institutional Review Board (IRB00083646).
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    Software and Algorithms
    SentencesResources
    We tested identity-unlinked stored remnant blood specimens of patients ≥18 years presenting to the Johns Hopkins Hospital ED between May–November 2020 for IgG to SARS-CoV-2 using the Abbott Architect SARS-CoV-2 IgG Assay (Supplementary Methods).
    Abbott Architect
    suggested: (Abbott ARCHITECT i1000sr System, RRID:SCR_019328)
    Heat map of SARS-CoV-2 infection (IgG and/or RT-PCR) prevalence by ZIP code for the JHH ED catchment area in Baltimore City was created using Microsoft Excel Map function.
    Microsoft Excel
    suggested: (Microsoft Excel, RRID:SCR_016137)

    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.


    About SciScore

    SciScore is an automated tool that is designed to assist expert reviewers by finding and presenting formulaic information scattered throughout a paper in a standard, easy to digest format. SciScore checks for the presence and correctness of RRIDs (research resource identifiers), and for rigor criteria such as sex and investigator blinding. For details on the theoretical underpinning of rigor criteria and the tools shown here, including references cited, please follow this link.