Predictive modelling of COVID-19 New Confirmed Cases in Algeria using Artificial Neural Network

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Abstract

This study investigates the potential of a simple artificial neural network for the prediction of COVID-19 New Confirmed Cases in Algeria (CNCC).

Four different ANN models were built (GRNN, RBFNN, ELM, and MLP). The performance of the predictive models is evaluated based on four numerical parameters, namely root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and Pearson correlation coefficient (R). Taylor diagram was also used to examine the similarities and differences between the observed and predicted values obtained from the proposed models.

The results showed the potential of the multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) which exhibited a high level of accuracy in comparison to the other models.

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2021.03.29.21254532: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

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