Empirical networks for localized COVID-19 interventions using WiFi infrastructure at university campuses

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Abstract

Infectious diseases, like COVID-19, pose serious challenges to university campuses, which typically adopt closure as a non-pharmaceutical intervention to control spread and ensure a gradual return to normalcy. Intervention policies, such as remote instruction (RI) where large classes are offered online, reduce potential contact but also have broad side-effects on campus by hampering the local economy, students’ learning outcomes, and community wellbeing. In this paper, we demonstrate that university policymakers can mitigate these tradeoffs by leveraging anonymized data from their WiFi infrastructure to learn community mobility —- a methodology we refer to as WiFi mobility models (W i M ob ). This approach enables policymakers to explore more granular policies like localized closures (LC). W i M ob can construct contact networks that capture behavior in various spaces, highlighting new potential transmission pathways and temporal variation in contact behavior. Additionally, W i M ob enables us to design LC policies that close super-spreader locations on campus. By simulating disease spread with contact networks from W i M ob , we find that LC maintains the same reduction in cumulative infections as RI while showing greater reduction in peak infections and internal transmission. Moreover, LC reduces campus burden by closing fewer locations, forcing fewer students into completely online schedules, and requiring no additional isolation. W i M ob can empower universities to conceive and assess a variety of closure policies to prevent future outbreaks.

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2021.03.16.21253662: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    Additionally, depending on campus priorities and resource limitations, different campuses can use this same data to model policies differently. The effectiveness of reopening policies is expected to be sensitive to a campus’ specific context that includes physical infrastructure, overarching guidelines, and human compliance [5]. For certain campuses policies might not need to be constrained by exposure risk as testing might be frequent, ubiquitous, and voluminous. Other campuses could have limits on quarantining capacity. Policymakers might even consider the cost tradeoffs by actually forecasting actual financial losses incurred by reduction in mobility [6], or valuate loss of services based on community needs [53]. We elaborate on these considerations in the SI Implications for Policy Design. Operational Considerations: Beyond assessing cost-benefits, universities also need to consider practical methods of obtaining, storing, and processing mobility of the community as WiMob. University can access logs from the managed network internally as it is passively collected. Moreover, it does not require any new form of surveillance sensing but universities must revise terms of use and stay sensitive to community perspectives. While aggregate data on population mobility is valuable for many applications [64], which includes informing pandemic response [8], the major privacy challenge with localization data is to avoid accumulation [56]. Instead, operational applications need to conc...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
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