Viral RNA level, serum antibody responses, and transmission risk in discharged COVID-19 patients with recurrent positive SARS-CoV-2 RNA test results: a population-based observational cohort study

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Abstract

Background

Managing discharged COVID-19 (DC) patients with recurrent positive (RP) SARS-CoV-2 RNA test results is challenging. We aimed to comprehensively characterize the viral RNA level and serum antibody responses in RP-DC patients and evaluate their viral transmission risk.

Methods

A population-based observational cohort study was performed on 479 DC patients discharged from February 1 to May 5, 2020 in Shenzhen, China. We conducted RT-qPCR, antibody assays, neutralisation assays, virus isolation, whole genome sequencing (WGS), and epidemiological investigation of close contacts.

Findings

Of 479 DC patients, the 93 (19%) RP individuals, including 36 with multiple RP results, were characterised by young age (median age: 34 years, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 29–38 years). The median discharge-to-RP length was 8 days (95% CI: 7–14 days; maximum: 90 days). After readmission, RP-DC patients exhibited mild (28%) or absent (72%) symptoms, with no disease progression. The viral RNA level in RP-DC patients ranged from 1·9–5·7 log 10 copies/mL (median: 3·2, 95% CI: 3·1–3·5). At RP detection, the IgM, IgG, IgA, total antibody, and neutralising antibody (NAb) seropositivity rates in RP-DC patients were 38% (18/48), 98% (47/48), 63% (30/48), 100% (48/48), and 91% (39/43), respectively. Regarding antibody levels, there was no significant difference between RP-DC and non-RP-DC patients. The antibody level remained constant in RP-DC patients pre- and post-RP detection. Virus isolation of nine representative specimens returned negative results. WGS of six specimens yielded only genomic fragments. No clinical symptoms were exhibited by 96 close contacts of 23 RP-DC patients; their viral RNA (96/96) and antibody (20/20) test results were negative. After full recovery, 60% of patients (n=162, 78 no longer RP RP-DC and 84 non-RP-DC) had NAb titres of ≥1:32.

Interpretation

RP may occur in DC patients following intermittent and non-stable excretion of low viral RNA levels. RP-DC patients pose a low risk of transmitting SARS-CoV-2. An NAb titre of ≥ 1:32 may provide a reference indicator for evaluating humoral responses in COVID-19 vaccine clinical trials.

Funding

Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen, China National Science and Technology Major Projects Foundation, Special Foundation of Science and Technology Innovation Strategy of Guangdong Province of China, and Shenzhen Committee of Scientific and Technical Innovation grants.

Article activity feed

  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2020.07.21.20125138: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Institutional Review Board StatementIRB: The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Shenzhen CDC (QS2020060007).
    Consent: As data collection is part of the public health investigation of an emerging outbreak, individual informed consent was waived.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.
    Cell Line Authenticationnot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    Antibodies
    SentencesResources
    From March 18, serum specimens were collected on the 1st, 3rd, 7th, and 14th days for antibody assays (n=499, 2–8 per person), and some RP-DC patient blood specimens (n=147, 1–4 per person) were collected for SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection by RT-qPCR.
    7th
    suggested: None
    Serum immunoglobulin (Ig) antibody against the SARS-CoV-2 surface spike protein receptor-binding domain (RBD) was measured using a chemiluminescence kit (IgM, IgG, and total antibody, Beijing Wantai Biotech, measured by cut-off index [COI]) or enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kit (IgA, Beijing Hotgen Biotech, measured by optical density at 450/630 nm [OD450/630]) in accordance with the manufacturer’s instructions.
    SARS-CoV-2 surface spike protein receptor-binding domain (RBD
    suggested: None
    Specimens with COI>1 (IgM, IgG, or total antibody), OD450/630>0.3 (IgA), or an NAb titre of ≥1:4 were considered positive.
    IgM, IgG
    suggested: (Bio-Rad Cat# MCA630, RRID:AB_322183)
    Experimental Models: Cell Lines
    SentencesResources
    Vero-E6 cells were used for virus isolation in a BSL-3 laboratory.
    Vero-E6
    suggested: None
    Software and Algorithms
    SentencesResources
    WGS was performed after specifically amplifying SARS-CoV-2 RNA.
    WGS
    suggested: None

    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    Our study has several limitations. First, this was a single-centre study conducted on all DC patients from Shenzhen. Because there are differences in the discharge criteria and SARS-CoV-2 RNA testing methods among different cities and counties, our RP incidence needs to be verified by multicentre studies. Second, we collected only nasopharyngeal swab, anal swab, and serum specimens based on current sampling policies; other specimen types with generally higher viral loads, such as lower respiratory tract and sputum specimens, were not collected. Thus, the RP incidence in this study represents a conservative estimation. Third, the systemic collection of serum specimens started mid-study, and serum specimens from RP-DC patients during their hospitalization were not available, which limited further investigations on the antibody level dynamics of RP-DC patients. Finally, due to the strict management of DC patients, most DC patients were identified during quarantine and consequently had few close contacts. This study included the close contacts of only 23 RP-DC patients; larger scale epidemiologic studies are needed to further confirm the transmission risk posed by RP-DC patients. In conclusion, our study found that intermittent detection of low levels of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in DC patients is not rare and that the timing of RP detection varies (up to 90 days post-discharge). The transmission risk posed by RP-DC patients is likely low. To better balance COVID-19 prevention and control w...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    About SciScore

    SciScore is an automated tool that is designed to assist expert reviewers by finding and presenting formulaic information scattered throughout a paper in a standard, easy to digest format. SciScore checks for the presence and correctness of RRIDs (research resource identifiers), and for rigor criteria such as sex and investigator blinding. For details on the theoretical underpinning of rigor criteria and the tools shown here, including references cited, please follow this link.

  2. SciScore for 10.1101/2020.07.21.20125138: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Institutional Review Board StatementThe study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Shenzhen CDC (QS2020060007).Randomizationnot detected.Blindingnot detected.Power Analysisnot detected.Sex as a biological variableThere were more female (57/93, 61%) than male RP-DC patients (36/93, 39%, Table 1).Cell Line Authenticationnot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    Antibodies
    SentencesResources
    From March 18, serum specimens were collected on the 1st, 3rd, 7th, and 14th days for antibody assays (n=499, 2–8 per person), and some RP-DC patient blood specimens (n=147, 1–4 per person) were collected for SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection by RTqPCR.
    7th
    suggested: None
    Serum immunoglobulin (Ig) antibody against the SARS-CoV-2 surface spike protein receptor-binding domain (RBD) was measured using a chemiluminescence kit (IgM, IgG, and total antibody, Beijing Wantai Biotech, measured by cut-off index [COI]) or enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kit (IgA, Beijing Hotgen Biotech, measured by optical density at 450/630 nm [OD450/630]) in accordance with the manufacturer’s instructions.
    SARS-CoV-2 surface spike protein receptor-binding domain ( RBD
    suggested: None
    To investigate the antibody responses of RP-DC and NRP-DC patients, their SARS-CoV-2-specific anti-RBD IgM, IgG, IgA, total antibody, and NAb were assessed.
    anti-RBD IgM , IgG
    suggested: None
    Together, these results indicate that the SARS-CoV-2-specific anti-RBD antibody levels (excluding IgM) are similar in RP-DC and NRP-DC patients and in RP-DC patients regardless of current RP detection.
    anti-RBD
    suggested: None
    None showed clinical symptoms during the twoweek follow-up, and all had negative SARS-CoV-2 RNA test results; 20 were tested for serum SARS-CoV-2-specific anti-RBD antibodies (IgM, IgG, and total antibody), and the results were also negative.
    IgM , IgG
    suggested: None
    Experimental Models: Cell Lines
    SentencesResources
    Vero-E6 cells were used for virus isolation in a BSL-3 laboratory.
    Vero-E6
    suggested: None
    Software and Algorithms
    SentencesResources
    WGS was successful for six of the nine specimens, but only genome fragments were obtained.
    WGS
    suggested: None

    Data from additional tools added to each annotation on a weekly basis.

    About SciScore

    SciScore is an automated tool that is designed to assist expert reviewers by finding and presenting formulaic information scattered throughout a paper in a standard, easy to digest format. SciScore is not a substitute for expert review. SciScore checks for the presence and correctness of RRIDs (research resource identifiers) in the manuscript, and detects sentences that appear to be missing RRIDs. SciScore also checks to make sure that rigor criteria are addressed by authors. It does this by detecting sentences that discuss criteria such as blinding or power analysis. SciScore does not guarantee that the rigor criteria that it detects are appropriate for the particular study. Instead it assists authors, editors, and reviewers by drawing attention to sections of the manuscript that contain or should contain various rigor criteria and key resources. For details on the results shown here, including references cited, please follow this link.