A preliminary model to describe the transmission dynamics of Covid-19 between two neighboring cities or countries

  1. Raúl Isea

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Abstract

We present a mathematical model that would allow one to describe the transmission dynamics of Covid-19 between two neighboring cities or countries. This model is analyzed both analytical and numerically. It is a preliminary model because it assumes that the migration rate and the mortality rate are constant over time. Despite these simplifications, only two of the four equilibrium conditions were deduced from the system of equations proposed in this paper. Finally, we show an example the transmission dynamics between Portugal and Spain according to the cases registered before June 3, 2020.

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    SciScore for 10.1101/2020.07.18.20156695: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Institutional Review Board Statementnot detected.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.

    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.

    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.

    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.

    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    About SciScore

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  2. Version published to 10.1101/2020.07.18.20156695 on medRxiv