Reduced Mortality During Holidays and the COVID-19 Pandemic in Israel

  1. Roni Rasnic
  2. Danielle Klinger
  3. Dan Ofer
  4. Yoav Comay
  5. Michal Linial
  6. Eitan Bachmat

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Abstract

Evidence suggests varied trends in mortality surrounding the holiday period. Most studies support an association between increased mortality rates and holidays. We compare the effect of the number of holiday days per week on the overall mortality rate in the Israeli population. Between 2000-2020, we see significantly reduced mortality rates in weeks containing national holidays. We observed the same trend in all-cause mortality during the 3-weeks COVID-19 pandemic lockdown. As the Israeli health care system, and hospitals especially, function near peak capacity year-round, we propose that reduced medical service utilization during holidays and the COVID-19 lockdown period might underlie the lower mortality rates.

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  1. ScreenIT

    SciScore for 10.1101/2020.07.16.20155259: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Institutional Review Board Statementnot detected.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.

    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.

    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.

    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.

    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    About SciScore

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  2. Version published to 10.1101/2020.07.16.20155259v2 on medRxiv
  3. Version published to 10.1101/2020.07.16.20155259v1 on medRxiv