Outcomes and Cardiovascular Comorbidities in a Predominantly African-American Population with COVID-19

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Abstract

Importance

Racial disparities in COVID-19 outcomes have been amplified during this pandemic and reports on outcomes in African-American (AA) populations, known to have higher rates of cardiovascular (CV) comorbidities, remain limited.

Objective

To examine prevalence of comorbidities, rates of hospitalization and survival, and incidence of CV manifestations of COVID-19 in a predominantly AA population in south metropolitan Chicago.

Design, Setting, Participants

This was an observational cohort study of COVID-19 patients encountered from March 16 to April 16, 2020 at the University of Chicago. Deidentified data were obtained from an institutional data warehouse. Group comparisons and logistic regression modeling based on baseline demographics, clinical characteristics, laboratory and diagnostic testing was performed.

Exposures

COVID-19 was diagnosed by nasopharyngeal swab testing and clinical management was at the discretion of treating physicians.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary outcomes were hospitalization and in-hospital mortality, and secondary outcomes included incident CV manifestations of COVID-19 in the context of overall cardiology service utilization.

Results

During the 30 day study period, 1008 patients tested positive for COVID-19 and 689 had available encounter data. Of these, 596 (87%) were AA and 356 (52%) were hospitalized, of which 319 (90%) were AA. Age > 60 years, tobacco use, BMI >40 kg/m 2 , diabetes mellitus (DM), insulin use, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, coronary artery disease (CAD), and atrial fibrillation (AF) were more common in hospitalized patients. Age > 60 years, tobacco use, CAD, and AF were associated with greater risk of in-hospital mortality along with several elevated initial laboratory markers including troponin, NT-proBNP, blood urea nitrogen, and ferritin. Despite this, cardiac manifestations of COVID-19 were uncommon, coincident with a 69% decrease in cardiology service utilization. For hospitalized patients, median length of stay was 6.2 days (3.4-11.9 days) and mortality was 13%. AA patients were more commonly hospitalized, but without increased mortality.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this AA-predominant experience from south metropolitan Chicago, CV comorbidities and chronic diseases were highly prevalent and associated with increased hospitalization and mortality. Insulin-requiring DM and CKD emerged as novel predictors for hospitalization. Despite the highest rate of comorbidities reported to date, CV manifestations of COVID-19 and mortality were relatively low. The unexpectedly low rate of mortality merits further study.

KEY POINTS

Questions

What comorbidities are present in African Americans (AA) with COVID-19 and what are the associations with subsequent hospitalization and mortality? What is the incidence of COVID-19-associated cardiac manifestations requiring cardiology service utilization?

Findings

In this observational cohort study that included 689 patients with COVID-19 from south metropolitan Chicago (87% AA), cardiovascular (CV) comorbidities were highly prevalent and more common in those that required hospitalization. In addition to AA, age > 60 years, tobacco use, BMI >40 kg/m 2 , diabetes mellitus, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, coronary artery disease (CAD), and atrial fibrillation (AF) were more common in those hospitalized. Age > 60 years, tobacco use, CAD, and AF were associated with in-hospital mortality. Despite this, cardiac manifestations of COVID-19 were uncommon, and cardiology service utilization was low. In-hospital mortality was 13%. AA patients were more commonly hospitalized, but without increased mortality.

Meaning

In a predominantly AA population with COVID-19 at a major academic hospital located in south metropolitan Chicago, CV comorbidities were common and were risk factors for hospitalization and death. Although the highest rates of comorbidities to date were present in this cohort, mortality was relatively low and merits further study.

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2020.06.28.20141929: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Institutional Review Board StatementIRB: The study was approved by the UCMC Institutional Review Board.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    Software and Algorithms
    SentencesResources
    All statistical analyses were conducted using STATA MP version 15 (College Station, TX)
    STATA
    suggested: (Stata, RRID:SCR_012763)

    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    LIMITATIONS: This report is limited by the single-center nature and small sample within the first 30 days of the first confirmed case of COVID-19. Although UCMC primarily functions to serve the local community during the COVID-19 pandemic, the generalizability may be limited by the tertiary nature of care along with the ability to rapidly implement hospital-wide protocols (i.e. negative pressure ventilation single occupancy, modified thromboembolic prophylaxis). Criteria and thresholds for hospitalization, admission to ICU, and invasive ventilation were dynamic over this time period of rapid adaptation to the crisis. Many patients (∼40%) hospitalized received experimental pharmacologic therapy (hydroxychloroquine, remdesivir, lopinavir/ritonavir, tocilizumab) and the outcomes from these individualized and compassionate-use interventions are the subject of ongoing investigation. Presently, there is no conclusive evidence to support the efficacy of these therapeutic agents.36-42 Additionally, adjunctive and evolving strategies such as prone43 and helmet ventilation44, higher dose prophylactic anticoagulation, high-flow supplemental oxygen to delay invasive ventilation may have impacted the observed mortality rates and merit further investigation. Studies beyond the scope of this descriptive report are warranted to explain the lower observed mortality in this population with high proportion of comorbidities (Supplemental Table 3). While the impact of early citywide lockdown and ...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    About SciScore

    SciScore is an automated tool that is designed to assist expert reviewers by finding and presenting formulaic information scattered throughout a paper in a standard, easy to digest format. SciScore checks for the presence and correctness of RRIDs (research resource identifiers), and for rigor criteria such as sex and investigator blinding. For details on the theoretical underpinning of rigor criteria and the tools shown here, including references cited, please follow this link.