The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic course in Saudi Arabia: A dynamic epidemiological model

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1. 

   ScreenIT

   Jun 9, 2020

   SciScore for 10.1101/2020.06.01.20119800: (What is this?)

   Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

   Table 1: Rigor

   NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

   Table 2: Resources

   Software and Algorithms
   Sentences	Resources
   Microsoft Excel 2016 was used for data storage and management.	Microsoft Excel suggested: (Microsoft Excel, RRID:SCR_016137)

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   Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

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   Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:

   On the other hand, one limitation of this study is that the accuracy of the predictions only lasts for a few weeks to months due to the erratic behavior of the current corona virus. Similarly, the …

   SciScore for 10.1101/2020.06.01.20119800: (What is this?)

   Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

   Table 1: Rigor

   NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

   Table 2: Resources

   Software and Algorithms
   Sentences	Resources
   Microsoft Excel 2016 was used for data storage and management.	Microsoft Excel suggested: (Microsoft Excel, RRID:SCR_016137)

   ---

   Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

   ---

   Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:

   On the other hand, one limitation of this study is that the accuracy of the predictions only lasts for a few weeks to months due to the erratic behavior of the current corona virus. Similarly, the accuracy of this prediction is highly correlated with how accurately and effectively new cases are recorded; it is vital to note that the number of identified infected cases will largely depend on the implemented testing strategy (i.e., how many tests are done in the population). As of May 28th, Saudi Arabia had done 770,696 tests, which is equal to approximately one test per 45 people(5). Additionally, our KSA-CoV-19 Model overestimates the number of recovered cases, but the number of recovered cases in Saudi Arabia has been increasing rapidly. For instance, in a period between 5 May and 15 May 2020, the number of recoveries increased 4-fold, and by May 28th, the number of recovered cases had surpassed the number of active cases by a large margin(5). Finally, despite utilizing previously published estimates for the average incubation period (e.dur) and average infection duration (i.dur), the model still undershoots the amount of active infection due to the rapid flow from the infected (I) compartment to the recovered (R) compartment of the SEIR model.

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   Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.

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   Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.

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   Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.

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   Results from rtransparent:

   • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
   • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
   • No protocol registration statement was detected.

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2. 

   Version published to 10.1101/2020.06.01.20119800v1 on medRxiv

   Jun 2, 2020
3. Version published to 10.1016/j.idm.2020.09.006

   Jan 1, 2020