Covid-19 Epidemiological Factor Analysis: Identifying Principal Factors with Machine Learning

  1. Serge Dolgikh

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Abstract

Based on a subset of Covid-19 Wave 1 cases at a time point near TZ+3m (April, 2020), we perform an analysis of the influencing factors for the epidemics impacts with several different statistical methods. The consistent conclusion of the analysis with the available data is that apart from the policy and management quality, being the dominant factor, the most influential factors among the considered were current or recent universal BCG immunization and the prevalence of smoking.

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  1. ScreenIT

    SciScore for 10.1101/2020.06.01.20119560: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Institutional Review Board Statementnot detected.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.

    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

    Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.

    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.

    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.

    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

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  2. Version published to 10.1101/2020.06.01.20119560v1 on medRxiv