A Statistical Model for Quantifying the Needed Duration of Social Distancing for the COVID-19 Pandemic

Article activity feed

1. 

   ScreenIT

   Mar 1, 2021

   SciScore for 10.1101/2020.05.30.20117796: (What is this?)

   Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

   Table 1: Rigor

   NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

   Table 2: Resources

   No key resources detected.

   ---

   Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

   ---

   Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:

   The above limitations need to be taken into account when interpreting our analysis. However, we note that as new data on immunity, seasonality, medications, and vaccines becomes available, these can easily be incorporated into our framework, and a revised analysis can be performed. We provide freely available code that allows for such an …

   SciScore for 10.1101/2020.05.30.20117796: (What is this?)

   Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

   Table 1: Rigor

   NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

   Table 2: Resources

   No key resources detected.

   ---

   Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).

   ---

   Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:

   The above limitations need to be taken into account when interpreting our analysis. However, we note that as new data on immunity, seasonality, medications, and vaccines becomes available, these can easily be incorporated into our framework, and a revised analysis can be performed. We provide freely available code that allows for such an analysis by researchers in the community (see appendix). Finally, we would like to point out that the issue of sensitivity of the model to the parameter choices is not specific to the SEIR model. Specifically, in our hands we have observed a similar phenomenon for other models as well (data not shown). The limited availability of data limits the certainty with which parameters of the model can be identified. Thus, it is critical that estimates from the application of statistical models to such data be accompanied by formal measures of uncertainty. We believe that the statements resulting from our analysis should also be taken in the context of the specific locations we analyzed and the specific model that we used. Possibly, other models or other locations may provide different estimates.

   ---

   Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.

   ---

   Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.

   ---

   Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.

   ---

   Results from rtransparent:

   • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
   • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
   • No protocol registration statement was detected.

   ---

   Read the original source
2. 

   Version published to 10.1101/2020.05.30.20117796v2 on medRxiv

   Jul 3, 2020
3. 

   Version published to 10.1101/2020.05.30.20117796v1 on medRxiv

   Jun 3, 2020