Analysis of Effectiveness of Quarantine Measures in Controlling COVID-19
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Abstract
COVID-19 has created an interesting discourse among the people of the world particularly regarding preventive measures of infectious diseases. In this paper, the authors forecast the spread of the Coronavirus outbreak and study how the reduction of transmission rates influences its decline. The paper makes use of the SIR (Susceptible Infected Recovered) Model which is a deterministic model used in the field of epidemiology-based on differential equations derived from sections of the population. The Basic Reproduction Number (R o ) represents the criticality of the epidemic in numeric terms. Forecasting an epidemic provides insights about the geographic spreading of the disease and the case incidences required to better inform intervention strategists about situations that may occur during the outbreak. Through this research paper, the authors wish to provide an insight into the impact of control measures on the pandemic. By drawing a comparison of three countries and their quarantine measures, observations on the decline of the outbreak are made. Authors intend to guide the intervention strategies of under-resourced countries like India and aid in the overall containment of the outbreak.
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SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.21.20074245: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code and data.
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:Despite a letter requesting limitations on the number of pilgrims at the shrines in Qom, they remained open for congregation in fact, one of the heads of the shrines encouraged visit to it on 27th February. It was only on 16th March that this shrine along with a few others was closed. Protests followed outside the shrine and servants had to drive out the protesters. By 22nd February, all concerts and cultural/ sports events were …
SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.21.20074245: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code and data.
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:Despite a letter requesting limitations on the number of pilgrims at the shrines in Qom, they remained open for congregation in fact, one of the heads of the shrines encouraged visit to it on 27th February. It was only on 16th March that this shrine along with a few others was closed. Protests followed outside the shrine and servants had to drive out the protesters. By 22nd February, all concerts and cultural/ sports events were canceled. The Universities and Educational institutions were also closed in various provinces. On 26th February, the president announced their plans to Quarantine only the infected individuals and not entire provinces. Friday prayers were canceled in Tehran and other gravely infected regions. The number of reported cases had grown to 978 Figure 7 of which 23 were members of the Parliament. By the next day, (2nd March) this number became 1501. On 3rd March, Iran executed temporary release of over 54,000 prisoners to curb spreading of infections in crowded jails and announced plans involving as many as 300,000 soldiers/ volunteers. Several countries including, Singapore, India, New Zealand placed restrictions on travel to Iran. On 5th March, 591 new cases were observed. This was followed by the parliament being suspended and international travel being banned for government officials. There was an announcement of plans for checkpoints between different cities to limit travel. Schools and universities were closed 28th March. According to a report on 7th M...
Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.
Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.
Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.
Results from rtransparent:- Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- No protocol registration statement was detected.
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