Prevent the resurgence of infectious disease with asymptomatic carriers
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Abstract
After reaching the peak of the COVID-19 outbreak, many regions are in search of a reopening plan that would minimize resurgence. Here we show to prevent resurgence local governments need to estimate how early and how many COVID-19 cases can be detected. It is safe to end social distancing if the majority of cases are detected early in the infection window. If cases are detected later, a 2-layer quarantine may be necessary to prevent resurgence. If fewer cases are detected, community events, schools, and large businesses may need to remain in virtual mode. Our results demonstrate that detecting more cases earlier is essential for preventing COVID-19 resurgence.
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SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.16.20067652: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
Software and Algorithms Sentences Resources This value is constrained by (i) the number of confirmed cases and (ii) the number of deaths reported by MDPH, and (iii) the number of conference attendees with COVID-19 symptoms reported by Biogen on March 316. Biogensuggested: (Biogen Idec, RRID:SCR_003790)Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study …SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.16.20067652: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
Software and Algorithms Sentences Resources This value is constrained by (i) the number of confirmed cases and (ii) the number of deaths reported by MDPH, and (iii) the number of conference attendees with COVID-19 symptoms reported by Biogen on March 316. Biogensuggested: (Biogen Idec, RRID:SCR_003790)Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: An explicit section about the limitations of the techniques employed in this study was not found. We encourage authors to address study limitations.Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.
Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.
Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.
Results from rtransparent:- Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- No protocol registration statement was detected.
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