A COVID-19 Risk Assessment for the US Labor Force

  1. Samantha Maher
  2. Alexandra E Hill
  3. Peter Britton
  4. Eli P. Fenichel
  5. Peter Daszak
  6. Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio
  7. Jude Bayham

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Abstract

The consequences of COVID-19 infection varies substantially based on individual social risk factors and predisposing health conditions. Understanding this variability may be critical for targeting COVID-19 control measures, resources and policies, including efforts to return people back to the workplace. We compiled individual level data from the National Health Information Survey and Quarterly Census of Earnings and Wages to estimate the number of at-risk workers for each US county and industry, accounting for both social and health risks. Nearly 80% of all workers have at least one health risk and 11% are over 60 with an additional health risk. We document important variation in the at-risk population across states, counties, and industries that could provide a strategic underpinning to a staged return to work.

One Sentence Summary

There is important variability in the proportion of the US workforce at risk for COVID-19 complications across regions, counties, and industries that should be considered when targeting control and relief policies, and a staged return to work.

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    SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.13.20063776: (What is this?)

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  2. Version published to 10.1101/2020.04.13.20063776v1 on medRxiv