Based on current trends, almost all African countries are likely to report over 1 000 COVID-19 cases by the end of April 2020, and over 10 000 a few weeks after that
Abstract
For African countries currently reporting COVID-19 cases, we estimate when they will report more than 1 000 and 10 000 cases. Assuming current trends, more than 80% are likely to exceed 1 000 cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10 000 a few weeks later.