Modelling the epidemic trend of the 2019-nCOV outbreak in Hubei Province, China
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Abstract
As of 8am 30 th January (Beijing Time) 2020, Approximate 8000 cases across the world have been confirmed. It’s necessary to simulate epidemic trend of the 2019-nCOV outbreak in Hubei Province, the hardest-hit area. By SEIR simulation, the predicted epidemic peak in Hubei will be within 28 th January 2020 to 7 th February 2020, up to 7000-9000 infectious cases in total. The estimate above was based on some assumptions and limitations exited.
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SciScore for 10.1101/2020.01.30.20019828: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:The estimate above was based on some assumptions and limitations exited. Affected by Spring Festival travel, the epidemic has spread rapidly and trend is difficult to simulate. And further investigations on potential spatiotemporal transmission pattern are warranted.
Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.
R…
SciScore for 10.1101/2020.01.30.20019828: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:The estimate above was based on some assumptions and limitations exited. Affected by Spring Festival travel, the epidemic has spread rapidly and trend is difficult to simulate. And further investigations on potential spatiotemporal transmission pattern are warranted.
Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.
Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.
Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.
Results from rtransparent:- Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- No protocol registration statement was detected.
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