Outbreak dynamics of COVID-19 in Europe and the effect of travel restrictions
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SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.18.20071035: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:Admittedly, this points toward a limitation of our current model in which the basic reproduction number is constant and does not account for local mitigation strategies (Peirlinck et al. 2020). We are currently improving our model to dynamically adapt the reproduction number and correlate its changes to the timing and severity of …
SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.18.20071035: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:Admittedly, this points toward a limitation of our current model in which the basic reproduction number is constant and does not account for local mitigation strategies (Peirlinck et al. 2020). We are currently improving our model to dynamically adapt the reproduction number and correlate its changes to the timing and severity of political actions. As we are trying to identify exit strategies from local lockdowns and global travel restrictions, political decision makers are turning to mathematical models for quantitative insight and scientific guidance. There is a well-reasoned fear that easing off current measures, even slightly, could trigger a new outbreak and accelerate the spread to an unmanageable degree. Global network mobility models, combined with local epidemiology models, can provide valuable insight into different exit strategies. Our model allows us to virtually lift travel restrictions between individual communities, states, or countries, and explore gradual changes in spreading patterns and outbreak dynamics. Our results demonstrate that mathematical modeling can provide guidelines for political decision making with the ultimate goal to gradually return to normal while keeping the rate of new COVID-19 infections steady and manageable.
Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.
Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.
Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.
Results from rtransparent:- Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- No protocol registration statement was detected.
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