Correction in Active Cases Data of COVID-19 for the US States by Analytical Study

  1. Ravi Solanki
  2. Anubhav Varshney
  3. Raveesh Gourishetty
  4. Saniya Minase
  5. Namitha Sivadas
  6. Ashutosh Mahajan

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Abstract

The total coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection have reached 139 million worldwide and nearing 3 million deaths on April 16, 2021. The availability of accurate data is crucial as it makes it possible to analyze correctly the infection trends and make better forecasts. The reported recovered cases for many US states are surprisingly low. This could be due to difficulties in keeping track of recoveries, which resulted in higher numbers for the reported active cases than the actual numbers on the ground. In this work, based on the typical range of recovery rate for COVID-19, we estimate the active data from the total cases and death cases and bring out a correction for the data for all the US states reported on Worldometer.

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  1. Version published to 10.1017/dmp.2021.130
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  3. Version published to 10.1101/2020.09.02.20186833v1 on medRxiv