Impact of mitigating interventions and temperature on the instantaneous reproduction number in the COVID-19 pandemic among 30 US metropolitan areas

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Abstract

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.26.20081083: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    There were some limitations in our study. The most important limitation was the inability to account for the diverse detection capacities across regions (Appendix Table 1). In regions with lower detection capacity, not only were there fewer cases detected (especially missing those with no or mild symptoms), but also the eligibilities for detection were more stringent. Only those with symptoms might be offered for virus detection. Thus, a sudden increase in case counts might not be due to an actual increase of infected people, rather it reflected the increased availability of detection kits. This was the main reason we had highly variable estimates of Rt in the beginning of epidemic, and also some small rebounds in some areas after April 15. Additionally, with more detection kits available, we will observe more asymptomatic or mild symptomatic cases. Our methods assumed the same virus infectivity between symptomatic and asymptomatic cases, which was likely not true. Methodologically, our estimation of Rt relied on many assumptions. Rt is determined by both the growth rate of new cases and the distribution of generation interval or serial interval [10]. We assumed a universal distribution of serial interval for all regions and over the whole time period. Serial interval may change due to interventions, regional characteristics, and the stage of epidemic. More stringent interventions and stay-at-home rules may result in shorter serial interval because the transmission will likel...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    About SciScore

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