Rapid vaccination and partial lockdown minimize 4th waves from emerging highly contagious SARS-CoV-2 variants

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Abstract

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2021.02.02.21250985: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    Software and Algorithms
    SentencesResources
    Then, correlation and clustering analyses were performed by calculating Spearman correlations among outcomes and between variables and outcomes using the Seaborn package in Python.
    Python
    suggested: (IPython, RRID:SCR_001658)

    Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code.


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    However, several limitations are notable. Our contact network is stratified by age and not race or profession and therefore is likely to miss important heterogeneities in transmission risk. We only assume initial vaccine allocation predominately to the elderly and a subset of younger health care workers to match current plans. While we make general projections about single versus double vaccination, we do not consider the specifics of vaccine scheduling and delays in accrued protection against infection. We also assume no waning immunity following natural infection or vaccination, and do not include the possibility of added protection in people who are first infected and then vaccinated. Based on existing data demonstrating prolonged antibody response after vaccination and natural infection,43,44 we believe that this issue can be neglected over the time intervals we model. Rapid loss of immunity would enhance the need to vaccinate quickly. Careful surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 re-infection, as well as viral antigenic drift, is needed urgently and will dictate the need for re-vaccination. Rapid institution of partial lockdown and vaccination will remain the two key strategies to limit deaths and number of days under lockdown. Finally, we project a 2 to 3-month delay until new variant cases surge. This is based on the fact that among sequenced viruses in the United States, new variants appear relatively uncommon at this stage representing fewer than 0.5% of sequenced viruses.18 H...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: Please consider improving the rainbow (“jet”) colormap(s) used on pages 17, 34, 35 and 14. At least one figure is not accessible to readers with colorblindness and/or is not true to the data, i.e. not perceptually uniform.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    About SciScore

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