Predicting COVID-19 spread in the face of control measures in West Africa
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SciScore for 10.1101/2020.05.23.20111294: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:In the absence of sufficient test kits in many West-African countries, and with the limitations in health care facilities and personnel, identifying cases is difficult [41]. Irrespective of the current trend, the COVID-19 pandemic is still a more serious health problem in West-Africa compared to previous outbreaks like the 2014 Ebola …
SciScore for 10.1101/2020.05.23.20111294: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:In the absence of sufficient test kits in many West-African countries, and with the limitations in health care facilities and personnel, identifying cases is difficult [41]. Irrespective of the current trend, the COVID-19 pandemic is still a more serious health problem in West-Africa compared to previous outbreaks like the 2014 Ebola outbreak (1.50 ≤ Rc ≤ 1.60) [42, 43] or the Lassa fever outbreak in Nigeria (1.29 ≤ Rc ≤ 1.37) [44]. Although most countries in West-Africa started implementing basic control measures since March 17, 2020, our simulation results indicate that improvements are necessary to effectively control or eliminate the pandemic from the region. Because there is currently no safe and effective vaccine or drugs against the novel coronavirus, basic public health control measures have been used to curtail the pandemic in many parts of the world including West-Africa. These measures include contact tracing, isolation, and measures that lead to a reduction in disease transmission, e.g., mask use and social or physical distancing [17]. In the absence of such measures, the worst case scenario prediction for West-Africa from our model is over 2 million confirmed COVID-19 cases by mid May 2020 when the epidemic peaks. This projection is within the range (517, 489 15, 056, 314) in [27] for the same West-African region, although the peak in the latter study was predicted to occur in June 2020. The higher upper limit in [27] might be linked to the fact that the authors ...
Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.
Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.
Results from JetFighter: Please consider improving the rainbow (“jet”) colormap(s) used on page 12. At least one figure is not accessible to readers with colorblindness and/or is not true to the data, i.e. not perceptually uniform.
Results from rtransparent:- Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- No protocol registration statement was detected.
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