Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: a multi-model study

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Abstract

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2022.03.08.22271905: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code and data.


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    Our study has several limitations. Only five modeling groups were able to provide age-resolved projections and the exact age groups differed between models due to different model structures and data inputs. Additionally, our results only considered health outcomes (cases, hospitalizations, and deaths) and did not consider other important outcomes such as missed days of work or school, or the cost of medical care. Accounting for these considerations would tend to increase the benefits of vaccination. Additionally, we projected the benefits of vaccinating 5-11 year-olds on a relatively short time scale of a few months. Longer-term benefits are difficult to estimate as they depend on the balance between duration of immunity and viral evolution in different age groups. As we move into the next stages of the pandemic, with immunity increasing in all age groups through natural infection and vaccination, a shift to endemic dynamics with annual wintertime outbreaks is expected33[Antia-Halloran]. Incidence would also be projected to shift towards younger and immunologically naive individuals34,35 [Lavine-Bjornstad-Antia,, Li-Metcalf-Bjornstad-Antia], as is observed across a range of pathogens [e.g., Bansal et al.]. Based on observations of other pathogens36,37 [e.g., Olson et al., Arinaminpathy et al.], as the age distribution of disease becomes more concentrated in children, we expect direct and indirect vaccine benefits to increase in this age group. Finally, the results in this pap...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.


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