Projection of healthcare demand in Germany and Switzerland urged by Omicron wave (January–March 2022)

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Abstract

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2022.01.24.22269676: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    Ethicsnot detected.
    Sex as a biological variablenot detected.
    Randomizationnot detected.
    Blindingnot detected.
    Power Analysisnot detected.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    Besides intrinsic limitation of compartmental models, many of the adopted parameters are still subject to significant uncertainties. Most notably, the severity of Omicron, the protection offered by the vaccines against this variant and their waning efficacy are far from being sufficiently studied and well characterized. Here, we did not consider the possibility of long term effects of the severe/mild Omicron cases, as data is still lacking on Omicron long-Covid cases. Nevertheless, our findings are in accordance with decoupling between case number and hospitalization observed in South Africa and UK. In interpreting this somewhat optimistic results, it should be noticed that even in the scenario assuming the least stringent measures (ℛe = 1.8), a certain level of mitigation measures still needs to be maintained to achieve the corresponding reduction of the infection rate (roughly 20%) with respect to the unmitigated situation. Furthermore to support the decoupling between the case number and hospitalization, it is necessary to improve the immunity of the population by expanding the vaccine uptake as well as accelerating the third dose campaigns. Our modeling framework accounts for different age-groups and their social-mixing, vaccination status, vaccine type and protection waning. This is important as throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, a strong stratification of hospitalization has been observed with respect to the age-group. Furthermore since the vaccination rate is biased tow...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.


    About SciScore

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