Comparison of pandemic excess mortality in 2020–2021 across different empirical calculations

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2022.05.09.22274863: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    Software and Algorithms
    SentencesResources
    36 Countries considered in main comparison: We focused our primary comparison on countries that have excellent death registration, are high income, and include data with weekly deaths in the Human Mortality database.
    Human Mortality
    suggested: (Human Mortality Database, RRID:SCR_002370)

    Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code and data.


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    Some other caveats should be discussed. First, finer adjustment for age (e.g. in more narrow age bins), and more comprehensive adjustment for other factors (e.g. gender, frailty, long-term care facility residence, comorbidities) may be able to offer even more accurate estimates of excess deaths. Second, even in countries with reliable data, some deaths are registered with delays, although with >4 months after the end of 2021 our main analyses for the 33 countries should not be affected much. Third, there can be debate on whether/how natural disasters and wars should be excluded. Fourth, long-term effects of both the pandemic and measures taken on healthcare, other aspects of health, education, society, and economy remain uncaptured in the 2020-2021 window. Comparisons of different approaches to excess death calculations should continue for longer periods of follow-up, also in the post-pandemic endemic phase. The boundaries between pandemic and endemic phase can be debated.29 Regardless, the relative performance of different countries and their excess death ranking may change substantially over time. Sixth, analyzing specific causes of death may be informative, but suffers from major misclassification even in high-income countries. Acknowledging these caveats, our analyses map the magnitude and uncertainty of excess deaths during 2020-2021. In countries with reliable data, age-adjustment suggests that excess deaths is lower than what has been previously published in calculatio...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.


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