The impact of lockdown timing on COVID-19 transmission across US counties

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Abstract

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2021.03.19.21253997: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code.


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    There were limitations to the study. First, as this was not a randomized controlled trial, unmeasured confounders could have distorted the overall findings. To minimize this possibility, we evaluated only counties in the US and adjusted for the most important characteristics of these counties. Second, although we chose the date of lockdown as the day on which the local government issued a “stay-at-home” order, other dates such as the date of a travel ban or school closing could also have been chosen. In a sensitivity analysis, we considered several of these possibilities (e.g. school closing, workplace closing, cancellation of public events, restrictions on gatherings, etc.) and found that the use of these dates produced very similar results to those of our main findings. Third, these data were generated in the US and may not apply to other countries around the world, which may have different characteristics and attitudes and adherence to public health policies such as masking and social distancing. Fourth, we did not consider the adherence of the residents in the counties to the lockdown order and did not evaluate the possible adverse effects of lockdowns including loss of income and productivity, mental health issues and “lockdown fatigue”. Notwithstanding these limitations, our findings have important public health implications. Local state and municipal governments should issue an immediate lockdown order when only a few cases of COVID-19 are ascertained in their communit...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

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