Optimal Control of the COVID-19 Pandemic with Non-pharmaceutical Interventions

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Abstract

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.22.20076018: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code and data.


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    Some key limitations of using our model for the latter purpose include our omission of subnational variation in epidemic dynamics [42,49], differentiation among alternative NPIs [18], and age differences in contact patterns [23] and risk of hospitalization [9]. At least with respect to the possibility of different levels of control for different age groups, one study found that age-specific optimal controls were all relatively similar for NPIs against pandemic influenza [46]. Additional limitations that affect our model’s suitability for making future predictions include its deterministic nature and the rudimentary calibration procedure that we performed, which was sufficient to provide a basis for qualitative analyses but that would need refinement for application of our model to inference or forecasting. In conclusion, our analysis suggests that we are at a critical juncture in the pandemic, when decisions about the continuation or relaxation of NPI-based control strategies could have major implications for the possibility of keeping transmission below levels that health systems can cope with. At the same time, our analysis highlights the role that constraints play in determining optimal levels of control going forward, both in terms of constraints on epidemiological parameters and on levels of control prior to the time that a decision is made about future actions. Going forward, reducing transmission in the near term would give decision makers greater flexibility in the ra...

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

    About SciScore

    SciScore is an automated tool that is designed to assist expert reviewers by finding and presenting formulaic information scattered throughout a paper in a standard, easy to digest format. SciScore checks for the presence and correctness of RRIDs (research resource identifiers), and for rigor criteria such as sex and investigator blinding. For details on the theoretical underpinning of rigor criteria and the tools shown here, including references cited, please follow this link.

  2. SciScore for 10.1101/2020.04.22.20076018: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources


    Results from OddPub: Thank you for sharing your code.


    About SciScore

    SciScore is an automated tool that is designed to assist expert reviewers by finding and presenting formulaic information scattered throughout a paper in a standard, easy to digest format. SciScore is not a substitute for expert review. SciScore checks for the presence and correctness of RRIDs (research resource identifiers) in the manuscript, and detects sentences that appear to be missing RRIDs. SciScore also checks to make sure that rigor criteria are addressed by authors. It does this by detecting sentences that discuss criteria such as blinding or power analysis. SciScore does not guarantee that the rigor criteria that it detects are appropriate for the particular study. Instead it assists authors, editors, and reviewers by drawing attention to sections of the manuscript that contain or should contain various rigor criteria and key resources. For details on the results shown here, please follow this link.