Rethinking the movement ecology of Andean bears: temperature-driven cathemerality and seasonal space-use cycles

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Abstract

Background

The Andean bear ( Tremarctos ornatus ), South America’s only ursid, is one of the world’s most elusive large mammals, making movement data collection exceptionally rare. Addressing this gap, we present the largest telemetry dataset ever assembled, spanning 19 individuals tracked across three Ecuadorian National Parks over two decades, paired with a novel analytical approach.

Methods

We integrated Continuous–Time Movement Models (CTMM), Auto-correlated Kernel Density Estimators (AKDEs), Hidden Markov Models (HMM) and a diel niche theoretical framework to mitigate biases previously unaccounted for the species in telemetry studies. Fine–scale AKDEs and non–linear movement metrics were calculated to understand seasonal space use and movement behaviors. Speed and diffusion from CTMM and behavioral states from HMM were modelled with environmental covariates to investigate which conditions shape diel and seasonal activity.

Results

Population mean home range was 138.2 km 2 (95% Confidence Intervals 78.7–225.5), with males (239.8 km 2 ; 182.8–307.5), significantly exceeding females (58.5 km 2 ; 35.5–90.3). Notably, three females exhibited ranges comparable to some males. Weekly and monthly AKDEs uncovered cyclic home range dynamics potentially driven by resource availability, with contractions around corn harvests, mortiño and achupalla fruiting, and expansions during páramo transitions. Decoupling speed from diffusion rates showed region-specific behaviors: intensive patch exploitation in Llanganates, broad exploratory ranging in Cayambe–Coca, and suppressed female locomotion in Cotacachi–Cayapas. Statistical analyses identified temperature as a key diel modulator and precipitation as the seasonal driver. Foraging probability increased between 2:00–6:00, large displacements between 7:00–14:00, and nocturnal movement rose significantly under colder conditions. Across diel hypothesis frameworks, bears were classified as cathemeral rather than strictly diurnal, corroborated by camera-trap records from Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru.

Conclusions

We propose a cathemeral diel phenotype that responds to thermal fluctuations and situates Andean bears within a broader ursid context of thermoregulatory niche plasticity. This dataset reveals unprecedented resolution of regional and sex specific behaviors that will facilitate and accelerate comparative studies in rapidly changing Andean landscapes. By releasing this long–term dataset as an open resource, we provide a foundation for climate-resilient conservation strategies. More broadly, we advocate for data democratization and invite collaboration.

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